What the bookies thinkOdds given across various bookmakers (10bet, 32red, 888sport, bet365, betdaq, betfair, betfred, betvictor, betway, boylesports, bwin, coral, ladbrokes, marathon bet, matchbook, netbet, paddypower, skybet, sportingbet, stanjames, totesport, unibet, williamhill, winner) are meaned and then inverted to give the rough chance bookies as a gestalt reckon the chance of brexit is.
|Chance of Brexit implied by aggregate bookie odds|
This inflection ten days out is something similar to what I saw when tracking bookies odds for the Scottish Indyref.
Moving average of Opinion Polls
|EU Opinion polling excluding unsure|
|EU Opinion polling including unsure|