Odds given across various bookmakers (10bet, 32red, 888sport, bet365, betdaq, betfair, betfred, betvictor, betway, boylesports, bwin, coral, ladbrokes, marathon bet, matchbook, netbet, paddypower, skybet, sportingbet, stanjames, totesport, unibet, williamhill, winner) are meaned and then inverted to give the rough chance bookies as a gestalt reckon the chance of brexit is.
The bookies reacted to the sad news of what happened to Jo Cox almost immediately:
|Chance of Brexit implied by aggregate bookie odds|
Moving average of Opinion Polls
|Stay vote share in opinion polling (excluding unsure)|