Saturday 19 March 2016

What the bookies think: Next US president in 2016 election (2016-03-19 update)

What the bookies think: Next US president in 2016 election

Odds given across various bookmakers (10bet, 32red, 888sport, bet365, betdaq, betfair, betfred, betvictor, betway, boylesports, bwin, coral, ladbrokes, marathon bet, matchbook, netbet, paddypower, skybet, sportingbet, stanjames, totesport, unibet, williamhill, winner) are meaned and then inverted to give the rough chance bookies as a gestalt reckon each candidate has.

Position Candidate Chance implied by odds Change (since 2016-03-03) Notes
1 Hillary Clinton 71.27% +4.85% US Secretary of State 2009-2013
2 Donald Trump 26.17% -3.95% You can't stump the Trump
- Jeb Bush 4.44% +4.25% Books closed on 2016-03-07
3 John Kasich 4.16% +2.75% Governor of Ohio
4 Bernie Sanders 3.94% -0.12% Vermont Senator
5 Ted Cruz 3.40% +1.14% Texas Senator
6 Joe Biden 1.69% +0.72% US Vice President
7 Paul Ryan 0.79% +0.36% Speaker of the US House of Representatives
8 Mitt Romney 0.73% -0.01% Governor of Massachusetts 2003-2007
- Chris Christie 0.46% +0.29% Books closed on 2016-03-07
9 Michael Bloomberg 0.35% -1.60% Mayor of NYC 2002-2013
10 Marco Rubio 0.33% -6.49% Florida Senator
- Andrew Cuomo 0.24% +0.10% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Elizabeth Warren 0.23% +0.09% Books closed on 2016-03-07
11 Ben Carson 0.22% +0.02% Director of Padiatric Neurosurgery 1984-2013
- Mike Huckabee 0.20% +0.07% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Carly Fiorina 0.20% +0.07% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Martin OMalley 0.20% +0.07% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Vermin Supreme 0.20% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Newt Gingrich 0.20% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Rahm Emanuel 0.19% +0.05% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Sarah Palin 0.19% +0.05% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Deval Patrick 0.19% +0.05% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Susana Martinez 0.19% +0.05% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Rob Portman 0.19% +0.05% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Joe Manchin 0.18% +0.05% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Al Gore 0.18% +0.05% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Rand Paul 0.13% +0.01% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Condoleeza Rice 0.13% +0.01% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Cory Booker 0.13% +0.01% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Jon Huntsman 0.13% +0.01% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Lincoln Chafee 0.12% +0.01% Books closed on 2016-03-05
- Nikki Haley 0.11% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-04
- Gary Johnson 0.11% -0.01% Books closed on 2016-03-04
- Bobby Jindal 0.10% -0.01% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Rick Perry 0.10% -0.01% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Mark Warner 0.10% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- David Petraeus 0.10% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Kirsten Gillibrand 0.10% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Scott Walker 0.10% -0.01% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Rick Santorum 0.10% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Janet Napolitano 0.10% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Lawrence Lessig 0.10% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Deez Nuts 0.10% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Kanye West 0.10% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Bob McDonnell 0.02% -0.01% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- John Hickenlooper 0.01% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Amy Klobuchar 0.01% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Brian Schweitzer 0.01% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Evan Bayh 0.01% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Eric Cantor 0.01% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Michelle Obama 0.01% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Michele Bachmann 0.01% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Ron Paul 0.01% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Herman Cain 0.01% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Mike Pence 0.01% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Mitch Daniels 0.01% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Kathleen Sebelius 0.01% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Tim Kaine 0.01% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- John Kerry 0.01% -0.01% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- George Clooney 0.01% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Lindsey Graham 0.01% -0.02% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Howard Stern 0.01% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-07
- Julian Castro 0.01% 0.00% Books closed on 2016-03-07

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