Thursday 20 August 2015

Next UK Labour Leader: What the bookies think (2015-08-20 update)

Corbyns chances seem to be gently dropping in the bookies estimations, is this an effect of the #LabourPurge?



Table of what bookies thinking in aggregate on the chances each candidate has at being next UK Labour Party leader:
Position Candidate Chance implied by odds Change (since 2015-08-09)
1 Jeremy Corbyn 76.96% +36.25%
2 Andy Burnham 24.61% -17.88%
3 Yvette Cooper 10.01% -16.29%
4 Liz Kendall 0.93% -0.62%

Odds given across various bookmakers (bet365, skybet, totesport, boylesports, betfred, sportingbet, betvictor, paddypower, stanjames, 888sport, ladbrokes, coral, williamhill, winner, spreadex, betfair, betway, titanbet, unibet, bwin, 32red, betdaq, matchbook) are meaned and then inverted to give the rough chance bookies as a gestalt reckon each candidate has.

Sunday 9 August 2015

Next UK Labour Leader: What the bookies think (2015-08-09 update)



Table of what bookies thinking in aggregate on the chances each candidate has at being next UK Labour Party leader:
Position Candidate Chance implied by odds Change (since 2015-08-02)
1 Andy Burnham 42.26% +5.14%
2 Jeremy Corbyn 40.86% -5.89%
3 Yvette Cooper 26.65% -0.12%
4 Liz Kendall 1.61% -0.45%

Odds given across various bookmakers (bet365, skybet, totesport, boylesports, betfred, sportingbet, betvictor, paddypower, stanjames, 888sport, ladbrokes, coral, williamhill, winner, spreadex, betfair, betway, titanbet, unibet, bwin, 32red, betdaq, matchbook) are meaned and then inverted to give the rough chance bookies as a gestalt reckon each candidate has.

Sunday 2 August 2015

Next UK Labour leader: What the bookies think



Table of what bookies thinking in aggregate on the chances each candidate has at being next UK Labour Party leader:
Position Candidate Chance implied by odds Change (since 2015-06-05)
1 Jeremy Corbyn 47.94% +46.55%
2 Andy Burnham 35.34% -18.86%
3 Yvette Cooper 27.36% +4.93%
4 Liz Kendall 2.13% -28.21%
5 David Miliband 1.16% -0.50%
6 Chuka Umunna 0.29% +0.02%
7 Harriet Harman 0.25% -1.02%
8 Alan Johnson 0.17% -1.01%
9 Tristram Hunt 0.16% -0.59%
10 Dan Jarvis 0.16% -0.54%
11 Keir Starmer 0.15% -0.51%
12 Tony Blair 0.13% -0.05%
13 Sadiq Khan 0.11% 0.00%
13 Rachel Reeves 0.11% -0.11%
13 Ed Balls 0.11% -0.06%
13 James Purnell 0.11% 0.00%
13 Alistair Darling 0.11% 0.00%
13 Jim Murphy 0.11% 0.00%
13 Gloria de Piero 0.11% 0.00%
13 Hilary Benn 0.11% 0.00%
13 Douglas Alexander 0.11% 0.00%
13 Jon Cruddas 0.11% 0.00%
13 Liam Byrne 0.11% 0.00%
13 Mary Creagh 0.11% -1.81%
13 Michael Dugher 0.11% 0.00%
13 Will Straw 0.11% 0.00%
13 Angela Eagle 0.11% 0.00%
13 Stella Creasy 0.11% -0.25%
13 Lisa Nandy 0.11% -0.25%
13 Ian Lavery 0.11% 0.00%
13 David Lammy 0.11% -0.25%
13 Steve Reed 0.11% 0.00%
13 Jamie Reed 0.11% -0.20%

Odds given across various bookmakers (bet365, skybet, totesport, boylesports, betfred, sportingbet, betvictor, paddypower, stanjames, 888sport, ladbrokes, coral, williamhill, winner, spreadex, betfair, betway, titanbet, unibet, bwin, 32red, betdaq, matchbook) are meaned and then inverted to give the rough chance bookies as a gestalt reckon each candidate has.